Category Archives: Real Estate

2021 Market Outlook – Part 2: S&P 500 Sector Analysis

2020 was of course dominated by the impact of the pandemic on the economy and specifically on the revenues and profits of each of the S&P 500 constituents.  There was a sharp stock market sell-off in March-April, followed by a … Continue reading

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Colony Credit Real Estate 20Q3 Update

Shares of Colony Credit Real Estate (CLNC) have surged over the past six weeks, nearly doubling from a low of $4.37 on Oct. 29 to a high of $8.11 on Nov. 25.  Since then, CLNC’s share price has been trading … Continue reading

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Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC): Weaker Than Anticipated 20Q3 Results

Diversified Healthcare Trust reported 2020 third quarter normalized funds from operations (FFO) (according to my definition) of $11.0 million or $0.05 per share, well below results for 19Q3 and 20Q2 and also below my projection of $27.8 million or $0.12 … Continue reading

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Debt Refinancing Eliminates Risk of Default; But Diversified Healthcare Trust Will Need to Raise Equity Eventually

Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) reported 2020 second quarter normalized funds from operations (FFO) (according to my definition) of $52.8 million or $0.22 per share, down 33% from $81.1 million or $0.33 per share in the prior year quarter.  The decline … Continue reading

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A Weak Second Quarter Should Mark the Bottom for Colony Capital, But Future Dilution is a Key Issue

Colony Capital reported a 2020 second quarter net loss of $2.04 billion or $4.33 per share, compared with a much smaller loss in the prior year quarter.  This year’s loss was driven by $2.0 billion of impairment charges taken across … Continue reading

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Colony Capital: The Big Pivot on Hold

In response to activist pressure precipitated by a deterioration in its financial performance and a steady decline in its stock price, Colony Capital announced in November 2019 a new strategy to focus on growing its Digital Realty and Investment Management … Continue reading

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After the Quick Rebound, Investors Should Approach Homebuilding Stocks with Caution

Homebuilding stocks have been on a wild ride in 2020.  They boomed from the start of the year, rising 19.1% (according to my index of 11 publicly-traded builders) to February 21, handily beating the 3.0% gain on the S&P 500 … Continue reading

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DHC Cuts Distribution As It Copes with COVID-19 Fallout

DHC’s share price closed on Thursday (4/9) at $3.51, down 58.4% year-to-date, worse than the peer group average of down 24.7%, but the stock is up from its bottom of $2.00.  Most of the losses for DHC occurred during March. … Continue reading

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Homebuilder Stocks Fall as Optimism About Global Economic Growth Rises

Homebuilding stocks have been the best performing of the 150-odd sectors in the Dow Jones U.S. Total Market Index, up 44.4% over the past 12 months as of November 8. Last year, they declined sharply in the face of Federal … Continue reading

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SNH Still Seems Behind Goal on Asset Sales

SNH has set a goal of $900 million in announced or closed asset sales in 2019.  With more than nine months of the year gone, it has completed only $119.1 million in asset sales and has an estimated $125 million … Continue reading

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