Category Archives: Sectors

2021 Market Outlook – Part 2: S&P 500 Sector Analysis

2020 was of course dominated by the impact of the pandemic on the economy and specifically on the revenues and profits of each of the S&P 500 constituents.  There was a sharp stock market sell-off in March-April, followed by a … Continue reading

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An Uncertain Outlook for Housing

2020 was a surprisingly solid year for housing in light of the pandemic and the havoc that it wreaked in other parts of the economy.  December data will not be reported until later this month.  I project that single-family housing … Continue reading

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Colony Credit Real Estate 20Q3 Update

Shares of Colony Credit Real Estate (CLNC) have surged over the past six weeks, nearly doubling from a low of $4.37 on Oct. 29 to a high of $8.11 on Nov. 25.  Since then, CLNC’s share price has been trading … Continue reading

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Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC): Weaker Than Anticipated 20Q3 Results

Diversified Healthcare Trust reported 2020 third quarter normalized funds from operations (FFO) (according to my definition) of $11.0 million or $0.05 per share, well below results for 19Q3 and 20Q2 and also below my projection of $27.8 million or $0.12 … Continue reading

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GE: 2020 Third Quarter Earnings Review

General Electric reported a 2020 third quarter GAAP loss of $1.16 billion or $0.13 per share on revenues on revenues of $19.4 billion, down 17%.  In the 2019 third quarter, the company reported a comparable net loss of $1.3 billion … Continue reading

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Wells Fargo: Still Under a Regulatory Cloud, Wading Through the Pandemic

Shares of Well Fargo have been under a regulatory cloud ever since the Federal Reserve placed a cap on its total assets in April 2018.  To lift the cap, the company must demonstrate that it has implemented an effective remediation … Continue reading

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GE 20Q3 Earnings Preview and Outlook

Shares of GE have underperformed both the broader market and GE’s industrial peer group since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.  The weak performance reflects primarily the company’s exposure to the aviation business, which prior to the pandemic was GE’s … Continue reading

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Housing Market Update

Despite continuing elevated unemployment and dampened consumer confidence, the housing market has been surprisingly strong in the months following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.  According to the U.S. Commerce Dept., single-family housing starts for August were estimated at the … Continue reading

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Debt Refinancing Eliminates Risk of Default; But Diversified Healthcare Trust Will Need to Raise Equity Eventually

Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) reported 2020 second quarter normalized funds from operations (FFO) (according to my definition) of $52.8 million or $0.22 per share, down 33% from $81.1 million or $0.33 per share in the prior year quarter.  The decline … Continue reading

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A Weak Second Quarter Should Mark the Bottom for Colony Capital, But Future Dilution is a Key Issue

Colony Capital reported a 2020 second quarter net loss of $2.04 billion or $4.33 per share, compared with a much smaller loss in the prior year quarter.  This year’s loss was driven by $2.0 billion of impairment charges taken across … Continue reading

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